Rising interest rates could wipe further £100bn from UK DB long-term liabilities

A further £100bn could be removed from the long-term liabilities of UK defined benefit (DB) pension schemes if longer-term gilt yields were to increase in line with The Bank of England’s recent base rate change, analysis from XPS Pensions Group has found.

As reported by our sister title, Pensions Age, the provider suggested this would be “welcome news” for DB schemes that were not fully hedged, and whose funding positions may improve off the back of the bank's decision to raise interest rates from 0.5 per cent to 0.75 per cent, depending on the investment market response.

In addition to this, it noted that a rise in gilt yields alongside the prospect of stable long-term inflation typically spells "good news for pension schemes".

According to the research, the estimated £100bn fall in liabilities would be in addition to around £380bn already removed from DB pension liabilities as a result of the 0.65 per cent increase in base rates since 16 December 2021.

Indeed, XPS Pensions Group senior consultant, Charlotte Jones, noted that gilt yields have been tracking base rates and rising steadily since December 2021 to reach highs that have not been seen since early 2019.

“In liability terms, this should be good news; rising gilt yields generally mean that the funding positions of schemes which are not fully hedged will improve," she continued.

“However, in the current environment a stable or improved funding position is not guaranteed - with the conflict in Ukraine and inflation concerns continuing, the market remains volatile, keeping trustees and their advisors on their toes.”

    Share Story:

Recent Stories


Podcast: Stepping up to the challenge
In the latest European Pensions podcast, Natalie Tuck talks to PensionsEurope chair, Jerry Moriarty, about his new role and the European pension policy agenda

Podcast: The benefits of private equity in pension fund portfolios
The outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic, in which stock markets have seen increased volatility, combined with global low interest rates has led to alternative asset classes rising in popularity. Private equity is one of the top runners in this category, and for good reason.

In this podcast, Munich Private Equity Partners Managing Director, Christopher Bär, chats to European Pensions Editor, Natalie Tuck, about the benefits private equity investments can bring to pension fund portfolios and the best approach to take.

Mitigating risk
BNP Paribas Asset Management’s head of pension solutions, Julien Halfon, discusses equity hedging with Laura Blows

Advertisement